So based on the previous gubernatorial election the 2021 recall petition required 1495709 signatures. An updating average of 2021 California gubernatorial recall election polls accounting for each polls quality recency and sample size.
California Governor Gavin Newsom is on course to defeat the recall effort on September 14 after his odds of beating the attempt to remove him.

California recall election odds. According to the NBC news in California. A significant number of those likely to vote in the recall election 31 said they would not choose a replacement candidate including nearly.
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